03/12/2024

The current state of the UK’s electric vehicle (EV) market

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The electric vehicle (EV) market in the UK has seen some big changes recently. There have been both good and bad moments in the country’s shift towards greener travel.

From strict government targets and fines, to weakened demand for EV and the impact on car manufacturers, here’s what you need to know about the UK’s current EV market.

In summary:

  • Ford, Nissan and Vauxhall are struggling to meet EV targets, leading to major job cuts and factory closures.
  • Government support is crucial, but manufacturers are calling for more incentives to boost EV demand.
  • The shift towards electric vehicles might require adaptation to cover new risks.
  • The wider production of cars in the UK dropped by 15.3%, marking the eighth consecutive month of decline.

Current UK regulation for electric vehicles

The previous Conservative government extended the phase-out of new petrol and diesel vehicles from 2030 to 2035.

Under current regulations, a percentage of new cars that manufacturers sell must qualify as zero-emission. In 2024, EVs must make up 22% of a company’s car sales and 10% of its van sales this year. For every car sale outside of that, manufacturers must pay a £15,000 fine.

It has forced manufacturers to discount their EVs heavily to make them more attractive to buyers, cutting into profit margins. The SMMT warned that these sales quotas could cost manufacturers £6 billion in 2024 alone.

That target is set to rise to 28% for cars and 16% for vans in 2025. The rules will then get tougher every year ahead of a complete ban of new petrol and diesel car sales – a tough situation for car manufacturers here in the UK.

Labour has said it intends to reinstate the 2030 target as part of its wider commitments to climate change policy, but it will consult on how the “direction of travel” for the policy will work.

Electric vehicles being produced in a factory.

UK vehicle production is dropping…and fast

Car production in the UK is declining and has now fallen for eight months in a row.

In October 2024, the number of cars produced in the UK dropped by 15.3% – 77,484 units – compared to October 2023, according to new data from the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT).

This shows how hard it has been for manufacturers to switch to producing more electric cars, made harder by a slowdown in demand in the market.

Stellantis, which owns Vauxhall, say it’s hard to keep up with government rules about zero-emission vehicle production. This shows how tough it is for manufacturers to balance meeting green goals and keeping their production levels steady.

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Why is there now weakened demand for electric vehicles?

 

Weakened demand for electric vehicles in the UK can be attributed to a few key factors that are affecting consumer confidence in EVs:

 

1. Depreciation of electric vehicles

Electric vehicles tend to depreciate at a faster rate compared to petrol and diesel vehicles, especially within the first 12 months. Consumers are hesitant to invest in vehicles that may lose significant value within a few years, leading to weakened demand.

 

2. Reliability issues

Consumers have reported reliability issues with electric vehicles, especially related to battery performance and lack of charging stations. These concerns have led to a perception that EVs are less dependable compared to traditional cars. The uncertainty around reliability, particularly after extended use, has made potential buyers more cautious about making the switch. A prime example of this is Hyundai and Kia recalling over 200,000 electric vehicles due to issues relating to a loss of power.

 

3. Warranty issues

While most manufacturers offer warranties for EV batteries, they often come with limitations that don’t fully reassure potential customers. Concerns about the cost of battery replacements and whether the warranty will cover potential failures are contributing to the weakened demand. The current warranty offerings are not meeting those expectations.

How is this affecting car manufacturers in the UK?

 

The automotive industry is going through a period of massive disruption currently. It’s clear that current electric vehicle sales targets is putting financial strain on manufacturers and putting jobs are risk.

So, how is this affecting some of the key car manufacturers in the UK?

 

Ford

  • Announced that it will cut 800 jobs in the UK over the next three years, which is about 15% of its UK workforce.
  • Ford partly blames weak demand for electric vehicles, the current government production targets and growing competition from Chinese manufacturers.
  • Despite investing over £350 million into UK EV production, Ford emphasises the need for government support to make these investments worthwhile.

 

Vauxhall

  • Announced plans to close its van-making factory in Luton, putting 1,100 jobs at risk partly due to the pressure of meeting EV sales targets.
  • Stellantis, which also owns brands such as Citroen, Peugeot, and Fiat, plans to consolidate its electric van production at its other UK plant in Cheshire.
  • Stellantis’ CEO has expressed serious doubts about the future of both of its UK factories.

 

Nissan

  • Raised concerns that the current EV sales rules threaten the viability of its Sunderland plant and could jeopardize thousands of jobs and billions in investment.
  • Nissan’s concerns align with those of the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT), which warns that the government’s rapid push for EV adoption could have “devastating impacts” on the industry.
  • Bosses have warned the company has 12-14 months to survive unless a new investor is found.

 

Jaguar

  • Sees an opportunity and is going all-in on electric vehicles, planning to become an electric-only brand to fully embrace the shift and sidestep the challenges of mixed production.
  • Halted new car sales to separate its legacy models from the upcoming all-electric line up.
  • Underwent a complete rebrand to position itself as a modern, tech-focused player for the EV era, which has sparked some controversy.
  • Jaguar’s first electric car will be a high-performance, four-door GT, signalling its focus on the luxury EV market.

 

Additional government support is needed for EV manufacturing

 

Even with these challenges, the UK government is still helping with the switch to electric vehicles. They recently promised to keep giving incentives for buying EVs, including investing in infrastructure and supporting manufacturers. This includes money to grow the network of EV charging points in the country, which helps tackle one of the main worries people have about EVs – running out of charge.

The UK government have pledged over £2 billion to support the EV transition, but industry leaders argue this support is not enough.

Ford UK’s Chair and Managing Director, Lisa Brankin, highlights the success of previous government incentives in driving company car drivers towards electric vehicles and urges the government to implement similar tax breaks for consumers to bridge the gap between supply and demand.

The need for a more workable approach is clearly needed.

 

How do electric vehicles impact the specialist vehicle insurance market?

 

 

The shift towards electric vehicles and the ambitious targets set by the UK government are also having an impact on specialist vehicle insurance. As the market for electric vehicles grows, insurance providers will need to continually adapt their offerings to meet the specific needs of EV owners.

Some owners of classic cars have converted their historic vehicles to electric as they look to prolong its lifespan. But at present, 82% of classic car owners are not ready to convert which is evident that the public do not have much confidence in making the conversion.

If a classic car owner opts for an electric conversion, it should be done professionally as if done wrongly, it may be unsafe for use on the road and it would be a major insurance risk.

As more electric vehicles are produced, insurance companies may face higher repair costs due to the cost of the batteries and electronics, resulting in increased insurance premiums.

 

Summary

 

While government support and industry efforts are driving the transition to electric vehicles, the ambitious targets are putting immense pressure on manufacturers, leading to financial strain and job losses.

Moving forward, the success of this EV transition will depend on steady investment, support from government and building consumer confidence to ensure that the shift to electric vehicles is both inclusive and beneficial for the entire industry.

 

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